Demand for gated community villas (3–4 bedrooms) in Ogun and Lagos perimeter areas rose 30% month-on-month in February 2026, according to PropertyPro.ng and Estate Intel viewing/enquiry data — outpacing apartment demand (+18%) and marking one of the strongest MoM spikes in the segment over the past 18 months.
The surge is driven by middle- and upper-middle-income families, civil servants, and corporate professionals seeking larger living spaces, enhanced security (gated estates with 24/7 guards, CCTV), privacy, parking, and community amenities (playgrounds, gyms, green areas) in master-planned estates.
Demand Ranking by Unit Type (Ogun & Lagos Perimeter February 2026 MoM Growth)
- Gated 3–4 bedroom villas: +30%
- Gated 2-bedroom townhouses: +22%
- Standard apartments (2–3 bed): +18%
- Luxury 5+ bedroom villas: +12%
- Overall gated community formats: +26% (vs +15% non-gated)
Top 10 Perimeter Hotspots by Demand Surge (February 2026 MoM)
- Mowe–Ofada–Shimawa (Ogun): +35%
- Ikorodu–Ibeshe axis (Lagos): +33%
- Sangotedo–Badore (Lagos): +31%
- Ijoko–Sango Ota (Ogun): +29%
- Epe corridor extension (Lagos): +27%
- Magboro (Ogun): +25%
- Ketu / Alapere extension (Lagos): +23%
- Sagamu (Ogun): +21%
- Ojodu–Berger extension (Lagos): +19%
- Ibafo (Ogun): +18%
Average Viewing-to-Offer Conversion Rates (February 2026)
- Gated 3–4 bed villas in perimeter areas: 23–30% (highest)
- Gated townhouses: 18–24%
- Standard apartments: 12–18%
What This Means for Developers & Landlords in Q2 2026
Developers
- Prioritize gated 3–4 bed villas (150–250 sqm) in Mowe–Ofada, Ikorodu, Sangotedo — fastest absorption
- Include must-haves: 24/7 security, solar/inverter backup, community amenities (play areas, gym) to justify 15–25% pricing premium
- Expected sell-out velocity: 40–60% faster than non-gated or apartment formats
- Target middle/upper-middle buyers (₦400k–₦1M/month) with flexible payment plans
Landlords
- Gated villas in perimeter areas command 12–20% MoM rent increases
- Gated + furnished + reliable power → occupancy 90–97% vs 70–85% non-gated
- Rental range: ₦2.5M–₦5.5M/year (furnished); premium 15–25% for gated/security/community features
Final Thoughts
The 30% MoM demand jump for gated community villas in Ogun & Lagos perimeter areas in February 2026 reflects a clear market shift: middle- and upper-middle-income families prioritize security, space, and master-planned living over smaller apartments in denser zones.
For developers: gated villa stock in Mowe–Ofada, Ikorodu, Sangotedo is the fastest-growing format — build it with security & amenities. For landlords: add gated features & power reliability — it commands meaningful rent premiums and near-full occupancy.
Which perimeter area or villa feature is driving the most demand in your experience? Share your observations below!
Disclaimer: This information is for general purposes only and not legal advice. Consult a qualified real estate lawyer for guidance.
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